Envíos al extranjero se estancaron en 2020 según el Banco Central
- Por Vicente Iriarte
Según cifras de remesas proporcionadas por el Banco Central, en 2020 se enviaron al extranjero US$1.982 millones, acercándose a los niveles registrados en 2019 cuando se totalizaron egresos por US$1.919 millones, reflejando un estancamiento en los números.
La pandemia tuvo repercusiones negativas en muchos sectores, siendo los empleos la variable más afectada por la crisis, con la pérdida de 1,8 millones de puestos de trabajo. En ese sentido, la tasa de desempleo en los inmigrantes alcanzó nuevos niveles, llegando a 16,1% en agosto, lo que tuvo un impacto en su bolsillo y en los envíos que realizaban a sus países de origen.
Bajo un análisis más minucioso, los datos arrojan una relación directa entre los envíos al extranjero y la lenta recuperación de la economía ligada al decrecimiento de contagios. Esto se refleja en el primer trimestre de 2020 cuando los casos aún no alcanzaban niveles críticos, registrando US$378 millones en envíos. En cambio entre abril y junio, el periodo más complicado de la situación sanitaria, las remesas llegaron solo a US$300 millones.
Según expertos, existen dos variables que podrían influir en el decrecimiento de los envíos. Primero, la paralización que generó la pandemia en distintas actividades y que incluso hizo que algunos inmigrantes regresaran a sus países de origen. Y la segunda, apelando al hecho de que gran parte de los inmigrantes efectúan trabajos ligado al ámbito de servicios, comercio y construcción, siendo estos los más afectados por la crisis.
El ex director del Departamento de Extranjería, Rodrigo Sandoval, señaló que “las remesas internacionales son un claro indicador de actividad económica y de confianza que, según las cifras que observamos, dan cuenta de una importante baja del dinero disponible y una reserva respecto de la situación de los meses que están por venir”.
Mientras que Juan Bravo, director Observatorio del Contexto Económico de la UDP (OCEC UDP), explicó que “las remesas enviadas al exterior venían mostrando un incremento anual muy elevado en los últimos cinco años, lo que coincide con el acelerado aumento de la inmigración a Chile en ese periodo. Esto se desacelera bruscamente en 2020, ya que muchos inmigrantes vieron una reducción muy relevante de las oportunidades laborales y, por ende, de generación de ingresos, lo que impactó en los envíos de remesas al exterior”.
Continuando en este escenario, expertos coinciden que Chile continuará siendo un destino atractivo para los extranjeros, y que sus ingresos dependerán de las medidas y restricciones que el Gobierno imponga, al menos durante el primer semestre.
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