Expertos prevén alzas para el IPC de febrero
- Por Felipe Pinochet.
A pesar de que en el sector agrícola descartan alzas de precios en las frutas y hortalizas debido a los efectos de las fuertes lluvias registradas a fines de enero, expertos del sector económico prevén mayores presiones inflacionarias para las próximas semanas. Así, esperan que el Índice de Precio al Consumidor de febrero se eleve de un 0,2% a un 0,4%.
Para Patricio Rojas, economista de Rojas y Asociados, “inicialmente la expectativa ya era alta por las gasolinas y por quiebre de stock, y hoy día se suma este efecto de las hortalizas, por lo que ahora todo indica que el IPC puede estar en 0,3% aunque sin descartar 0,4%”.
En tanto, Tomás Flores, economista de LyD se suma a estas proyecciones, “dado que frutas y verduras frescas representan el 3,6% de la canasta del IPC y es probable que se observen alzas de más de 30% en esos productos, la variación del IPC en febrero subiría desde 0,2% a un rango entre 0,3 y 0,4% aproximadamente”.
No obstante, el economista jefe de STF Capital, Sergio Godoy, indicó que no es tan claro que se provoque una presión inflacionaria. “En particular, por un lado, la disminución de la oferta local de hortalizas podría elevar los precios en el corto plazo, sin embargo, las frutas de exportación afectadas que no se pueden exportar va a ser liquidada en el mercado local y esto tiende a bajar los precios”. Godoy espera un 0,2% para febrero.
En cuanto al mes de marzo, los expertos esperan un rango entre 0,4% y 0,5%. De concretarse estas proyecciones, el primer trimestre terminaría con una inflación acumulada del orden de 1% y, 1,3%.
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