Confianza en los consumidores registró su punto más alto desde el estallido social
- Por Felipe Pinochet.
De acuerdo a la última medición del Índice de Percepción del Consumidor (Ipeco), en octubre se registró un alza en la confianza en los consumidores de 5,1 puntos respecto al mes de septiembre, esto es el nivel más alto en un año y desde que se desencadenara el estallido social de 2019. En tanto, en los últimos 12 meses la confianza en los consumidores ha trepado 10,6 puntos.
De esta manera, el Ipeco de octubre exhibió 76,31 puntos sobre una base de 100, que fue la establecida al momento de iniciar esta medición mensual que es elaborada desde 2001.
No obstante, tanto el Ipeco como el Índice Coyuntural y el indicador de Expectativas, siguen estando en un terreno considerado “muy pesimista”, de acuerdo con la clasificación del informe; asimismo, como a un nivel más bajo que el exhibido durante la crisis financiera global de 2008.
Para Cristián Echeverría, director del Centro de Estudios en Economía y Negocios, de la UDD, “la confianza (que mostró un alza) en agosto tuvo que ver con la economía como un todo, más que con el primer retiro del 10%”. Por lo mismo, estimó que “la eventualidad del segundo retiro probablemente tendrá aún menos efecto en la economía y en la confianza, pues es menos relevante en términos relativos, ahora que la economía está menos contraída, y en términos absolutos porque la propensión a consumir del grueso de quienes hagan este segundo retiro, es menor que la de quienes hicieron el primero”.
En el desglose por estrato socioeconómico, la confianza aumentó en el ABC1, aunque se mantuvo “extraordinariamente pesimista”. En el C2 avanzó, sin embargo, se mantuvo “muy pesimista”. En el C3 se incrementó, aunque se mantuvo “muy pesimista”. En el D se mantuvo “moderadamente pesimista”. En el E pasó de “muy pesimista” a “moderadamente pesimista”.
En el detalle por regiones, la Metropolitana y la del Biobío, el reporte concluye que los cambios en la confianza en ambas zonas fueron positivos. En la Región Metropolitana aumentó, aunque se mantuvo “moderadamente pesimista” (93,4 puntos), mientras que en la Región del Biobío también se elevó, pero se mantuvo “extraordinariamente pesimista” (64 puntos).
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